Tag: expected goals model

• May 28, 2014

  Predicting, Prospecting and Expecting Goals

  So I’ve started to go into the uses of Expected Goals Models here at Differentgame and today I’m looking at predicting striker goal returns. Once again I’m using a recent Prozone presentation (if you’ve got half an hour to spare) to introduce an idea. This time it’s Omar Chaudhuri (@omarchaudhuri) putting some context into using…
• May 19, 2014

  A Shooting Model – An Exp(G)lanation and Application

  If you’re a follower of the growing analytics movement in football you’ll probably have heard of the term ‘expected goals model’. The term may have been shortened to ExpG, xG or something, but whatever it’s been named, it’s basically a shots model. What’s a shots model, then? A shots model puts a theoretical goal value…