Tag: Liverpool

• September 27, 2014

  The Defenceless Derby

  Everton have conceded 13 goals from 20 shots on target. That really takes some doing. Here’s how it looks visually (I resisted the urge to scribble wildly on a bit of paper). Yellow dots are shots that ended up in the net, blue dots are shots that Howard saved: Using my expected goal model I […]
• February 20, 2014

  Luis, Roo and Bob Too!

  So we’ve turned our goalkeeping model about face to apply to strikers. Basically, we have split the penalty area and surrounds into 46 locations. We’ve then popped each of the last 11,000+ open-play shots on target from the last 3 and a half seasons into those 46 bins to give us an average conversion rate […]