Tag: Man City

• October 12, 2016

  On Everton, Spurs and Man City

  Last month’s post looked at how Maarten Stekelenburg couldn’t hope to keep his early season shot-stopping performance up. Fast-forward a month and the Dutchman has conceded 3 goals from the 4 shots on target he’s faced in the Premier League since then. However, the good news is that based on my expected goals model, Everton…
• May 19, 2014

  A Shooting Model – An Exp(G)lanation and Application

  If you’re a follower of the growing analytics movement in football you’ll probably have heard of the term ‘expected goals model’. The term may have been shortened to ExpG, xG or something, but whatever it’s been named, it’s basically a shots model. What’s a shots model, then? A shots model puts a theoretical goal value…